Go Giants!
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Posted by muckdog at 7:34 PM View Comments
Labels: consumer confidence, europe, january, rally
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Posted by muckdog at 12:46 PM View Comments
Labels: AudioBoo, jan brewer, mitt romney, newt gingrich, Obama, republicans, vanna white
Whoa! Nintendo lost $575 million bucks! Remember when it was hard to find the Nintendo Wii? Or when the handheld Nintendo DS was the handheld game to have. That was years ago, believe it or not. In the meantime, the gaming system has been under pressure by the more powerful Microsoft XBOX 360 and Sony PS3, while the handheld is losing ground to the iPhone and Android phones - tablets, too.
Nintendo is promising Wii U in the Fall, while Microsoft is planning the next generation of the XBOX in 2013.
$575 million dollars . Yikes.
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I read that ATT lost well over 600K DSL subscribers in the 4th quarter of 2011. Now, in 2011 I switched from ATT DSL to ATT U-verse. But it seems that not all of the folks leaving DSL went to U-verse. ATT actually lost customers to cable internet.
People are craving bandwidth for streaming movies, playing games, and surfing the web. All our iPads and Androids consume bandwidth to download music and web content. DSL is just too slow.
I was surprised that more folks weren't signing up for U-verse. But not all homes have fiber to the house, and that sends them to the cable companies to get the bandwidth they need.
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Posted by muckdog at 11:14 PM View Comments
Labels: cheerleader, dsl, new england, patriots, uverse
All I heard in President Obama’s State of the Union was “raise taxes” and blah, blah, blah.
You?
Seriously! It sounds noble and altruistic to go after those evil people who make money. But it’s THEIR money. They worked hard. They earned it. They’re even following the current tax laws in the tax code, and paying what they owe to the government. If they feel under taxed and want to contribute additional money to the Treasury, this rich folks are free to write a check! I’m looking at you, Warren Buffett.
When you add up the federal tax rate, the state tax rate, the local tax rate (in some cities), the payroll tax (Social Security and Medicare – and double it for the self-employed), many of The Rich are already paying over 50% in taxes.
Over 50% in taxes. That’s not enough?
I didn’t even include sales taxes, and everything else from taxes to fees on our homes, utility bills, cell phone bills, etc…
We’re all taxed enough, Mr. President.
$AAPL – Apple is known for sandbagging their estimates and killing on the numbers. But Chinese fighting for iPhone 4s phones can’t be wrong. Everyone wants an iPhone.
No exceptions.
Apple has the formula of delivering the must-have phone of the year once a year, and is now rolling the phones out world-wide.
It’s raining money.
Terrell Owens is broke! $44,600 a month in child support can be tough financially.
The bottom line is that he made poor investment decisions along the way. The career of an athlete is far shorter than those of us with desk jobs. While they make a lot of money in the short term, it is difficult to recover from bad decisions.
Ouch.
Is Newt Gingrich the new Comeback Kid? Newt surges in the polls this past week to overcome Mitt Romney in South Carolina. This is a pretty big win and it would seem as if the momentum is with Gingrich. Romney seems to be fading. The big surprise is how Gingrich is faring amongst the independents. We have been told that Mitt was the only one who could beat Obama, but it looks as if the independents actually went for Newt.
One thing for sure is that I think Gingrich is a better debater, and the head-to-head meetings with Obama would be more entertaining than would a Romney-Obama debate.
On to Florida...
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The talks in Greece over new debt have broken down. This is the deal where existing bond holders get shafted for about 50% and get issued new bonds. One of the stumbling blocks is over the interest rates of the new debt. The IMF and Germany are looking for rates lower than 4%, to help Greece manage their interest payments.
Talks broke down, but the article says folks are available by phone. What does that mean? Don't call me, I'll call you? Can I get your phone number, baby?
Why not just send text messages back and forth? That's what all the kids are doing these days! Er, and probably adults, too.
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Did you read that Treasuries are off to their worst start since 2003?
And it was just early last week that the 30-year rate fell below 4%! I bet that will get harder and harder to find as the calendar moves along.
The bottom line is that world economies continue to grow. China's GDP was huge. The US continues to add jobs as the employment numbers improve. The fly in the ointment continue to be Europe. Greece is in the headlines today, as worries about their new debt could impact markets on Monday.
The US stock market seems to be on a bit of a rally and could be overbought and due for a correction. But that is awfully difficult to predict. Right now, stocks are rallying and ignoring bad news. For example, the Google miss on Thursday could have been a catalyst for a market disaster. While Friday was weak with the Dow leading thanks to IBM and Microsoft, the Nasdaq was down.
As for Treasuries, I think everyone can see the elephant in the room - rates are going to find it easier to move higher than go lower.
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Posted by muckdog at 11:33 AM View Comments
Labels: china, europe, google, greece, microsoft, treasuries
$TSLA: Tesla Motors executive departs - but, did he depart in an electric car?
My guess? Probably not.posted from Bloggeroid
Posted by muckdog at 10:15 PM View Comments
Labels: electric car, Peter Rawlinson, tesla, tsla
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It's an interesting demographic in that these folks probably are conservative both fiscally and socially, but probably don't want the government touching their Social Security.
From the Los Angeles Times. By the way, that's an excellent app for the iPad.
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Woohoo! $GS Goldman Sachs earnings less dreary than expected! If that isn’t reason to drive the Nasdaq higher, what is? The Nasdaq led the market today, with an improving sentiment in housing combined with the $GS earnings. “We started off on a positive footing because certain financial earnings weren’t as bad as investors had feared, but most of the uptick came from home-builders’ confidence reaching a level not seen since 2007. Now we have two areas, jobs and housing, which are critical foundations, and both are seeing signs of improvement.” - Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at Harris Private Bank in Chicago.
The continuing theme of slow growth, uh, continues. There really was no reason to fear a recession. It appears as if there were a lot of folks leaning the wrong way. We are seeing a pick up in most all of the economic data, but not at a rate that is going to make the Fed jump in and kill it.
Meanwhile, the Black Box sell signal has a bit of egg on its face so far. Which is why I don’t follow it as a mechanical system. Still, it usually isn’t wrong – and when it is wrong, it’s not by much. It is still at a point where a whoosh down would create a second sell signal. It’s not unprecedented to see consecutive sell or buy signals within a few percent of each other, as the market reaches overbought or oversold levels.
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Posted by muckdog at 9:35 PM View Comments
Labels: expiration, options, stock traders almanac, week
So, the Black Box gave a sell signal on the $QQQ Friday. The market gapped up today, pulled back, and rallied into the close. I didn’t think it was a strong day. That being said, the market is up the day after the Black Box gave a sell signal. That doesn’t happen very often.
But, it does happen. Of course it does.
I am still 100% long. With sort of a mental stop. No reason to sell if the market keeps moving higher.
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Posted by muckdog at 12:08 PM View Comments
Labels: bankruptcy, ireland, miss ireland, sean quinn
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Well, the Black Box triggered a sell signal Friday at the close. $$ Unfortunately, the news flow is negative as I type and I wonder if the market will gap down on Tuesday and deny the chance to exit near the sell signal.
Not sure what I will do. I feel mixed. I hate to get too conservative during the monthly strength period - I did that last January!
Tomorrow is a market holiday. That gives me time to think.
I'm out and about. More tomorrow.
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I blogged earlier about $JPM leading the news du jour, but the Euro nation downgrade list is really the big news. Look at this mess (from the USA Today). A total of nine countries downgraded! Who was spared? Germany! Their country may be on the cusp of a recession, but other than that I guess things are fine.
I noticed some of my favorite gold bugs launched into some heavy gold positions today. Something to watch. Looks like - fundamentally - they're on to something.
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Posted by muckdog at 8:49 PM View Comments
Labels: asus, AudioBoo, economy, germamy, ice cream sandwich, kobe bryant, stocks, transformer prime
Energy stocks take a hit. And natural gas futures slip to $2.80.
Wouldn't it be nice if we could use natural gas in our cars?
Did you see Cabot Oil and Gas hit for 11% today?
Meanwhile, even though the market had a chance to go down today, it recovered and mostly finished in the green. Small caps seem to be at the head of the pack.
Hostess going bankrupt? Twinkies? Government bailout! Quick!
If this doesn't meet the qualifications of a national crisis, what does?
Market is meandering around today. Earnings season kicking into gear. Euro crisis still in the foreground. Lots of jello moving on the plate, as they say.
Still long...
The market is up softly as I type, as earnings season kicks off. Alcoa! We also have the euro watch going on, as usual.
Of course, earnings season only happens four times a year, while the euro watch happens every frackin' day. Seriously! Do you think anyone will realize that throwing more debt at countries with debt problems will actually help? (we need to look in the mirror on this, too).
But, bottom line in the US, is that we have slow economic growth. It is growth! I suspect earnings will continue to show increasing profits, but forward looking caution and hesitation.
I'm still invested at 100% equities. The black box could go on a sell signal at any time, though. Will I follow it blindly this year? That's always the question!
Have a good Monday!
The stock market begins January with a rally. As goes January, so goes the year? And the first 5 days?I've read some debunking of this. Somewhat. Paraphrasing, that if the market is up in January, it's already up for the year and likely to finish up -- since it's already up.
More thoughts on the ASUS Transformer Prime, one week in... Pros and cons.
See the Econ Professor who is going to run for President? A third party ticket! I think he should have a bumper sticker that says "2012: On the one hand, but on the other hand" or some such thing.
It is a year where we are tired of the sluggish economy and the government mucking around of the jobs numbers. Does anyone really believe that the unemployment number going down by removing job seekers from the equation is real progress? Get real! I suppose we're going to get some pretty curious numbers for the next 11 months until the election
Yes, we have economic growth. There is that, no matter how slow it is.
Anyway, this all leads to the third party Econ Professor. That will keep it interesting...
Today's 2012 first-trading day market rally was the third largest for the Dow and fourth largest for the SP500 and Nasdaq. Ever.
So that's a good thing, right?
Strong economic data and less global fears get the reason du jour honors.
Meanwhile, with the economic number on the rise, oil prices are at an eight month high. We shall see what happens as higher gasoline prices hit the market.
Welcome to the post-holiday crash -- beginning with the Iowa caucus. The republican field is on display...
Here are the 2012 stock market predictions and outlook.
Bulls and BearsGary B. Smith: AMZN up 40% Dow 14,700Jonas Max Ferris: JPM up 30% Dow 13,000Tobin Smith: TSM up 100% Dow 12,800
Cavuto on BusinessAdam Lashinsky: VTSMX: $31.29Ben Stein: SPY: $125.50Matt McCall: HILO: $18.28
Forbes on FoxMorgan Brennan: LINE: $37.91Bill Baldwin: ZBRA: $35.78Kim McNicholas: CAT: $90.60Elizabeth MacDonald: PAUCX
Cashin' InTracy Byrnes: Dow will be flat, $4 gasolineGary Kaltbaum: MA: $372.82Wayne Rogers: LUK: $22.74
Okay. I’m crunching the numbers for 2011, and I held my own against the SP500 but it was all a little underwhelming. Here are the benchmarks
I came in at 1.7%. The SP500 number above doesn’t include dividends, so I’m sure I’m really close to a tie this year. But we’ll rack up another “win” against the SP500 benchmark. Shaky as it is.
This is the first look back at 2011. Basically,after all the volatility and noise, stocks went nowhere!