Wednesday, December 03, 2008

IBD Follow-Through Day

Tuesday was called a follow-through day by Investor's Business Daily. IBD called today a follow-through day, but I am still cautious because of all the break-out failures lately.  In other words, not every follow-through launches a big market rally. But no market rally has ever started without a follow-through.

Seems like we've had over 5 of those this bear market, and each of them has failed.  Whipsaw City.  Picking the bottom of this bear has been a losers game to date.

Positives?  We seem to be hanging around the 8000 level on the DOW and in the lower-to-mid 800s on the SP500.  Maybe some sort of basing action here. 

I remain long and bullish.  As I mentioned in The Psychology of Cutting Back, I think a lot of what's going on is emotionally driven by the media's gloomy drumbeat.  I see folks with more cash in their wallets now than last year up to this Summer.

(Did someone say Summer?  Summer Glau?)

Oil prices dropping like a stone.  Huge impact to folks out there who drive cars.  It's the stimulus package that keeps on giving.