2006 Election Preview

I know the Democrats may not have finished off the champagne from last tuesday's election wins, but the media is now starting to focus on the 2006 election cycle.

If the 2006 elections were held today... (from the WSJ):

Even with today's horrible approval ratings, the republicans are projected to carry the Senate, 53-43-1. Of the three rated "tie" 2 are leaning (D) and one leaning (R).

Haven't found House polls, but the Dems need to net 15 wins to take control. Most political opinions I've read think the Democrats can manage gains in the high-single digits. Not enough to win the House. The redistricting defeats in CA and OH probably saved this one for the GOP.

The WSJ link has governor's races, and the Democrats do look to net out quite a few gains there. Currently 28 GOP and 22 Democrat. Forecast shows 22 GOP, 25 Democrat, and 3 rated tie. This includes the projected wins in Virginia and New Jersey by Democrats, and assumes Arnold will lose to Angelides in CA.